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Heart 1999;82:680-683; doi:10.1136/hrt.82.6.680
Copyright © 1999 BMJ Publishing Group Ltd & British Cardiovascular Society
Heart 1999;82:680-683 ( December )

Seasonal variations in out of hospital cardiopulmonary arrest

J P Pella, J Sirelb, A K Marsdenc, S M Cobbeb

a Department of Public Health Medicine, Greater Glasgow Health Board, Dalian House, 350 St Vincents Street, Glasgow G3 8YU, UK, b Department of Medical Cardiology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK, c Scottish Ambulance Service, Edinburgh, UK

Correspondence to: Dr Pell email: jill.pell{at}glasgow-hb.scot.nhs.uk

Accepted for publication 30 July 1999

OBJECTIVE---To determine whether there are seasonal variations in survival following out of hospital cardiopulmonary arrest.
DESIGN---Prospective cohort study using the Heartstart (Scotland) database.
SETTING---All of Scotland.
PATIENTS---10 890 people who suffered out of hospital cardiopulmonary arrest in the summer or winter between December 1988 and August 1997 inclusive.
INTERVENTION---Univariate comparisons of 5406 arrests occurring in summer with 5484 in winter, in terms of patient characteristics, management, and survival using chi 2 and Mann-Whitney U tests. Multivariate analysis of the association between season and survival following adjustment for case mix.
MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES---Survival to discharge from hospital, survival pre-admission, in-hospital survival.
RESULTS---Only 6% of people who arrested in winter survived to discharge, compared to 8% of those who arrested in summer (odds ratio 0.77, p < 0.001). People who arrested in winter had a poorer risk profile in that they were older, more likely to arrest at home, less likely to have a witness, and less likely to receive defibrillation. However, after adjustment for case mix, people who arrested in winter were still 19% less likely to survive compared to those who arrested in summer. Deaths pre-admission were significantly higher in winter (odds ratio 1.18, p < 0.05) but in-hospital deaths were not.
CONCLUSIONS---People who suffer cardiopulmonary arrest in winter have a significantly lower likelihood of surviving. This is, in part, caused by the higher frequency of a number of recognised risk factors. However, their prognosis remains poorer even after adjustment for these factors.


Keywords: cardiopulmonary arrest; cardiopulmonary resuscitation; seasonal variations; ischaemic heart disease


© 1999 by Heart

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