Cardiovascular medicine
Left ventricular dysfunction, natriuretic peptides, and mortality
in an urban population
T A McDonagha, A D Cunninghamb, C E Morrisonc, J J V McMurrayb, I Fordd, J J Mortonb, H J Dargieb
a Department of
Medical Cardiology, University of Glasgow, Royal Infirmary, 10 Alexandra Parade, Glasgow G31 2ER, UK, b Department of Cardiology, University of Glasgow,
Western Infirmary, c Greater
Glasgow Health Board, d Robertson
Centre for Biostatistics, University of Glasgow
Correspondence to: Dr McDonagh t.mcdonagh{at}bio.gla.ac.uk
Accepted 18 January
2001
OBJECTIVE
To report the mortality of
left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVD), assessed objectively by
echocardiography, and its association with natriuretic peptide hormones
in a random sample of 1640 men and women aged 25-74 years from a
geographical, urban population.
METHODS
Left ventricular function was
measured by echocardiography in 1640 attendees studied in 1992-3. LVD
was defined as a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)
30%.
Plasma concentrations of N-terminal atrial natriuretic peptide (N-ANP)
and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) were measured by standard
radioimmunoassays. Mortality was documented at four years.
RESULTS
The four year all cause
mortality rate in the whole cohort was 4.9% (80 deaths). It was 21%
(nine deaths) in those with an LVEF
30% and 4% in those whose
LVEF was > 30% (p < 0.001). The median (interquartile range) BNP
concentration in those who died was 16.9 pg/ml (8.8-27) and
7.8 pg/ml (3.4-13) in survivors (p < 0.0001). Similarly, N-ANP had
a median concentration of 2.35 ng/ml (1.32-3.36) in those with a
fatal outcome and 1.27 ng/ml (0.9-2.0) in those alive at four years
(p < 0.0001). Subjects with an LVEF
40% also had a
significant mortality rate of 17% if they also had a BNP concentration
17.9 pg/ml compared with 6.8% if their BNP was below this
concentration (p = 0.013). Multivariate analysis revealed the
independent predictors of four year all cause mortality to be
increasing age (p < 0.001), a BNP concentration
17.9 pg/ml
(p = 0.006), the presence of ischaemic heart disease (p = 0.03),
and male sex (p = 0.04).
CONCLUSIONS
LVD is associated with a
considerable mortality rate in this population. BNP also independently
predicts outcome. In addition to its role as a diagnostic aid in
chronic heart failure and LVD, it provides prognostic information and
clarifies the meaning of a given degree of LVD.
Keywords: epidemiology; left ventricular dysfunction; natriuretic peptides
© 2001 by Heart
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