Editorial
Predicting and reducing cardiovascular risk
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
The capacity to estimate and manage risk is arguably "the revolutionary idea that defines the boundary between modern times and the past",1 underpinning decisions in financial and commodity markets, insurance, engineering, and public health. Yet the risk of an individual developing a specific condition over a fixed period of time is a relatively new concept for clinical decision making. A recent spate of publications2-4 on the presentation of cardiovascular risk estimates suitable for clinical use is joined by Jones and colleagues' contribution published in a recent issue of Heart.5
Their study compares the accuracy of five tables or charts of
cardiovascular risk derived from the original Framingham equations. Three of the tables are from national guidelines (joint British, New
Zealand, and Canadian), one is from the joint European cardiac societies and one from Ramsay's team in Sheffield. They assess the
tables using data from almost 700 patients in 12 Birmingham general
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