Abstract

The aim of the present study was to determine the strength of the relation between serum creatine kinase isoenzyme MB estimated infarct size, other prognostic variables, and mortality after acute myocardial infarction. Serum creatine kinase MB estimated infarct size and 11 other prognostic variables were obtained in 317 patients. By Cox regression analysis the prognostic variables significantly related to mortality were identified: congestive heart failure, estimated infarct size, New York Heart Association class, number of previous infarcts, and age. Congestive heart failure and estimated infarct size were most strongly related to mortality. The relation between the prognostic variables and mortality was non-linear, and the variables influenced each others' relation to mortality. A prognostic index based on all five prognostic variables provided the best means of estimating the probability of survival after acute myocardial infarct. Neither serum creatine kinase MB estimated infarct size nor any of the other prognostic variables had a significant independent influence on mortality, and the probability of survival was high in the absence of any of the prognostic variables in combination.