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Heart 95:1844-1850 doi:10.1136/hrt.2009.174276
  • Original article

Potential survival gains in the treatment of myocardial infarction

Table 3

Potential opportunities for (a) lives saved and (b) non-fatal events prevented and components of these benefits (with sensitivity analysis) through better application of treatments and possible innovations

Deaths per 10 000 Range in sensitivity analysis Recurrent MI or stroke per 10 000 Range in sensitivity analysis
Total events: STEMI 23 2 to 60 213 24 to 527
Delayed presentation 6 1 to 13 60 14 to 127
Fibrinolysis rather than PPCI 1 0 to 5 12 0 to 45
Delayed PPCI 3 0 to 10 38 0 to 92
Delayed fibrinolysis 1 0 to 3 11 1 to 26
No reperfusion 7 3 to 17 83 25 to 161
Delayed invasive management 0 0 to 1 2 0 to 4
No invasive management 1 0 to 7 5 0 to 27
Total Events: NSTEMI 43 0 to 177 55 0 to183
Delay invasive management 4 0 to 10 3 0 to 8
No invasive management 16 0 to 87 11 0 to 67
No GP 21 0 to 59 40 0 to 96
Total events: secondary prevention treatments 104 27 to 266 191 61 to 605
    Lack of prescription 46 16 to 101 121 36 to 229
    Non-adherence 58 11 to 165 69 24 to 376
Putative novel therapy Optimal* All† Optimal All
10% Reduction 1 34 4 96
20% Reduction 3 67 9 192
30% Reduction 4 101 13 288
  • *Optimal—for patients with STEMI: reperfusion, early invasive management and GP IIb/IIIa inhibition; for patients with NSTEMI: early invasive management and GP IIb/IIIa inhibition; for secondary prevention: four or five guideline recommended treatments at discharge and adherent at 6 months; †All–a benefit that applies to the entire population.

  • GP, glycoprotein; MI, myocardial infarction; NSTEMI, non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction; PPCI, primary percutaneous coronary intervention; STEMI, ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction.

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