Table 3

Estimated prevalence of congenital heart disease for the population of the UK

Date of birthBirthsPrevalence (1.5/1000)* (4.5/1000)†First year (survival rate)18 years (survival rate)
Calculations by AG Stuart, based on methods used to calculate the same population for the USA at the 32nd Bethesda Conference “Care of the adult survivor with congenital heart disease”, October 2000.
Complex*
1940–1960831,0001247(20%)(10%)
× 20 years2493049862493
1960–19808630001295(50%)(35%)
× 20 years25890129459062 (+ 2493)
11555 in year 2000
1980–19907550001133(70%)(50%)
× 10 years1132579285663
Totals17218 in year 2010
Simple†
1940–19608310003740(90%)(90%)
× 20 years747906731167311
1960–19808630003884(90%)(90%)
× 20 years776806991269912 (+ 67311)
137223 in year 2000
1980–19907550003398(90%)(90%)
× 10 years339803058230582
Totals167805 in year 2010
Conclusions
SimpleComplexTotals
200013722311555148778
201016780517218185023
% increase∼22%∼50%∼24%