Table 2 Independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality (p<0.001 for all variables)
Odds ratio (95% CI)
Age (years)1.04 (1.03 to 1.05)
Female sex1.8 (1.5 to 2.3)
Respiratory disease1.6 (1.3 to 2.0)
Peripheral vascular disease1.7 (1.3 to 2.2)
Renal dysfunction3.9 (2.9 to 5.2)
Endocarditis5.1 (2.5 to 10.6)
Ejection fraction <30%2.4 (1.9 to 3.2)
Previous cardiac surgery2.6 (1.9 to 3.6)
Urgent surgery2.4 (2.0 to 3.0)
Emergency surgery4.3 (2.9 to 6.5)
Cardiogenic shock4.9 (3.1 to 7.8)
Combined CABG and valve surgery2.3 (1.8 to 2.9)
Other cardiac surgery2.6 (2.0 to 3.4)
  • CABG, coronary artery bypass grafting.

  • Calculation of predicted risk using patient data and logistic regression coefficients:

  • Calculate the odds of in-hospital death  =  exp (−7.4554 + [0.0393× age (continuous variable)] + [0.6108× female sex] + [0.4996× respiratory disease] + [0.5305× peripheral vascular disease] + [1.3592× renal dysfunction] + [1.6313× endocarditis] + [0.8915× ejection fraction <30%] + [0.9731× previous cardiac surgery] + [0.8878× urgent surgery] + [1.4697× emergency surgery] + [1.5900× cardiogenic shock] + [0.8282× combined CABG and valve surgery] + [0.9629× other cardiac surgery]).

  • Predicted risk of in-hospital mortality as a percentage  =  [odds/(1 + odds)] ×100.