Table 2

Process of estimating life expectancy

Conditional life years remaining (event type and timing)
Cycle (time in years)	Non-fatal CHD	Non-fatal CBVD	Fatal CVD	Fatal non-CVD
1	15.6	14.2	1.0	1.0
2	15.8	14.5	2.0	2.0
3	16.1	14.8	3.0	3.0
.
.
22	25.8	25.9	22.0	22.0
23	26.5	26.7	23.0	23.0
24	27.3	27.4	24.0	24.0
.
.
100	100.5	100.5	100.0	100.0

Probability of event occurring (event type and timing)
Cycle (time in years)	Non-fatal CHD	Non-fatal CBVD	Fatal CVD	Fatal non-CVD
1	0.023	0.008	0.016	0.013
2	0.023	0.008	0.016	0.013
3	0.023	0.008	0.016	0.013
.
.
22	0.003	0.002	0.004	0.003
23	0.002	0.002	0.003	0.002
24	0.002	0.001	0.002	0.002
.
.
100	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000

Weighted remaining life years (estimates from top panel multiplied by estimates from middle panel)
Cycle (time in years)	Non-fatal CHD	Non-fatal CBVD	Fatal CVD	Fatal non-CVD	Sum
1	0.361	0.108	0.016	0.013	0.498
2	0.365	0.113	0.032	0.026	0.537
3	0.368	0.119	0.049	0.040	0.576
.
.
22	0.084	0.057	0.079	0.067	0.286
23	0.066	0.046	0.064	0.054	0.230
24	0.050	0.036	0.050	0.043	0.179
.
.
100	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
Total life years remaining (cumulative sum over each model cycle)=					14.07
Overall life expectancy (age upon entering model plus life years remaining)=					74.07

CBVD, cerebrovascular disease; CHD, coronary heart disease; CVD, Cardiovascular Disease.