Table 3

Predictors of AF progression

Risk factorAdjusted OR (95% CI)t Valuep Value
AF or atrial flutter on baseline ECG2.30 (1.95 to 2.73)9.66<0.0001
Heart Rate ≤80, bpm (per 10 decrease)0.84 (0.70 to 0.89)5.60<0.0001
Age, years (per 10 increase)1.16 (1.09 to 1.24)4.48<0.0001
NYHA class III/IV vs no heart failure1.61 (1.26 to 2.06)3.780.0002
Moderate left atrial enlargement vs no enlargement1.35 (1.14 to 1.59)3.520.0004
NYHA class II vs no heart failure1.38 (1.15 to 1.65)3.510.0005
African American vs white0.56 (0.40 to 0.78)−3.490.0005
Mild left atrial enlargement vs no enlargement1.24 (1.07 to 1.42)2.930.0034
Severe left atrial enlargement vs no enlargement1.30 (1.07 to 1.59)2.610.0101
Anaemia*0.80 (0.67 to 0.97)−2.300.0215
Prior valve replacement or repair1.25 (1.03 to 1.52)2.220.0267
NYHA class I vs no heart failure1.23 (1.02 to 1.48)2.180.0291
Weight, kg (per 10 increase)1.03 (1.00 to 1.06)2.150.0317
Persistent AF vs paroxysmal AF0.95 (0.74 to 1.22)−0.400.6926
Hispanic vs white1.04 (0.49 to 2.21)0.100.9201
Other race vs white0.99 (0.62 to 1.60)−0.020.9815
  • OR and 95% CI are attained by combining results from the five imputed data sets.

  • *Significant interaction between risk factor and baseline AF type.

  • AF, atrial fibrillation; NYHA, New York Heart Association.