Table 3

Sex-specific HR (95% CI) for atrial fibrillation according to left atrial (LA) size, and mitral Doppler flow and left atrial size combined

Indexed left atrial sizep Value for trend
1 (<2.2)2 (2.2 to 2.79)3 (≥2.8)
Women
 Events (n=177)n=61n=89n=27
 Model 11 (Ref.)1.5 (1.1 to 2.1)3.0 (1.9 to 4.9)<0.0001
 Model 21 (Ref.)1.6 (1.1 to 2.3)4.5 (2.6 to 8.0)<0.0001
 Model 31 (Ref.)1.5 (1.0 to 2.3)4.4 (2.4 to 8.0)<0.0001
Men
 Events (n=259)n=128n=119n=12
 Model 11 (Ref.)1.4 (1.1 to 1.8)3.0 (1.6 to 5.5)0.001
 Model 21 (Ref.)1.5 (1.2 to 2.0)3.6 (1.7 to 7.5)<0.0001
 Model 31 (Ref.)1.3 (1.0 to 1.8)3.3 (1.3 to 8.3)0.024
All
 Events (n=436)n=189n=208n=39
Model 4
Mitral Doppler flow
 Normal1 (Ref.)1.4 (1.1 to 1.7)3.1 (2.1 to 4.8)<0.0001*
 Abnormal1.2 (0.9 to 1.7)1.8 (1.3 to 2.4)3.5 (1.8 to 6.7)
Model 5
Mitral Doppler flow
 Normal1 (Ref.)1.5 (1.2 to 2.0)4.8 (2.9 to 7.8)<0.0001*
 Abnormal1.3 (0.9 to 1.8)2.1 (1.5 to 3.0)3.7 (1.6 to 8.7)
  • The Tromsø Study, 1994–2010.

  • *p Value for trend is calculated for six groups of LA size and mitral Doppler flow combined. Description can be found in the Methods section.

  • Model 1: adjusted for age and sex (not in sex-specific models).

  • Model 2: as Model 1+height, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, palpitation.

  • Model 3: as Model 2, participants with coronary heart disease, valvular heart disease, heart failure or hypertrophy at baseline excluded.

  • Model 4: as Model 1.

  • Model 5: as Model 2.

  • Mitral Doppler flow—normal: E/A ratio 0.75–1.5 and E-wave deceleration time (EDT >140 ms; abnormal: E/A ratio <0.75 or >1.5 or EDT <140 ms.

  • Ref; reference.