Table 3

Cumulative 10-year CVD mortality and total CVD by sex and age

SexAge group10-year CVD mortality10-year total CVDKM differenceKM ratioBSP ratio
NnKM rate95% CInKM rate95% CI95%CI of BSP ratio
Male
 39–502219150.7(0.4 to 1.1)1818.2(7.2 to 9.5)7.511.712.21(12.07 to 12.36)
50–551780261.5(1.0 to 2.2)26014.8(13.2 to 16.5)13.39.910.01(9.93 to 10.09)
55–601637342.1(1.5 to 3.0)32019.9(18.6 to 22.0)17.89.59.37(9.30 to 9.44)
60–651633674.2(3.4 to 5.4)46229.0(26.8 to 31.3)24.86.96.84(6.81 to 6.87)
65–7016221278.3(7.0 to 9.8)56536.5(34.2 to 39.0)28.24.44.42(4.41 to 4.43)
70–75129020917.7(15.6 to 20.0)58648.8(46.0 to 51.7)31.12.82.77(2.76 to 2.77)
75–793286523.3(18.7 to 28.8)16756.3(50.6 to 62.1)332.42.41(2.40 to 2.42)
Total10 5095435.4(4.9 to 5.8)254124.9(24.1 to 25.7)19.54.64.66(4.65 to 4.67)
Female
39–50306150.2(0.07 to 0.4)1735.7(4.9 to 6.6)5.528.536.06(35.28 to 36.88)
 50–552333110.5(0.3 to 0.9)2259.8(8.6 to 11.1)9.319.620.24(19.95 to 20.55)
55–602129170.8(0.5 to 1.3)29914.2(12.8 to 15.8)13.417.817.65(17.44 to 17.87)
60–652014432.2(1.6 to 2.9)39520.1(18.4 to 21.9)17.99.19.16(9.10 to 9.22)
65–701995864.5(3.6 to 5.5)55628.8(26.8 to 30.9)24.36.46.47(6.44 to 6.50)
70–7516071459.5(8.2 to 11.1)62440.7(38.3 to 43.2)31.24.34.28(4.27 to 4.30)
75–793665014.6(11.3 to 18.8)16547.3(42.2 to 52.7)32.73.23.26(3.24 to 3.27)
Total13 5053572.7(2.4 to 3.0)243718.4(17.8 to 19.1)15.76.86.80(6.79 to 6.82)
  • CVD mortality is death from a CVD. Total CVD is all fatal and non-fatal CVD or events requiring hospitalisation.

  • Cumulative total CVD and CVD mortality rates were calculated using the KM method.

  • KM difference is difference of total CVD and CVD mortality of the KM estimates. KM ratio is the ratio of total CVD to CVD mortality of the KM estimates. BSP ratio is the ratio of total CVD to CVD mortality of the bootstrap procedure estimates.

  • BSP, bootstrap procedure; CVD, cardiovascular disease;, KM, Kaplan-Meier.