Table 3

Net reclassification index (NRI) based on addition of gene score to QRISK, calculated using 10% risk cut-off

No. of people
QRISK+externally weighted gene score
NO CVD (n=15928.64*)
Reclassified
Predicted risk QRISK<10≥10Increased riskDecreased riskNet correctly reclassified
<10
≥10
5475.02
1156.07
785.56
8511.99
785.561156.072.33% (1.8 to 2.9)
QRISK+externally weighted gene score CVD (N=1697.81*)
Predicted risk QRISK<10≥10
<10
≥10
352.27
100.58
65.36
1179.60
65.36100.58−2.07 (−3.56 to −0.59)
NRI (95% CI)†
NRI (95% CI)‡
0.25% (−1.33 to 1.83) p=0.76
1.18% (−0.23 to 2.60) p=0.10
  • *Numbers inflated due to extra weighting assigned to three studies where samples of controls were taken (see statistical analysis section).

  • †No adjustment for study.

  • ‡Results from meta-analysis of individual study results (fixed effects).

  • CVD, cardiovascular disease.