Table 4

Net reclassification index (NRI) based on addition of gene score to QRISK, calculated using 20% risk cut-off

No. of people
QRISK+externally weighted gene score
NO CVD (N=15928.64*)
Reclassified
Predicted risk QRISK<20≥20Increased riskDecreased riskNet correctly reclassified
<20
≥20
9789.24
927.36
783.85
4428.19
783.85927.360.90% (0.39 to 1.41)
QRISK+externally weighted gene score CVD (N=1707.7*)
Predicted risk QRISK<20≥20
<20
≥20
605.5
124.3
146.1
831.9
146.1124.3−0.25% (−2.09 to 1.58)
NRI (95% CI)†
NRI (95% CI)‡
0.65% (−1.26 to 2.55) p=0.51
0.68% (−1.16 to 2.52) p=0.47
  • *Numbers inflated due to extra weighting assigned to three studies where samples of controls were taken (see statistical analysis section).

  • †No adjustment for study.

  • ‡Results from meta-analysis of individual study results (fixed effects).

  • CVD, cardiovascular disease.