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Determinants of Discrepancies in Detection and Comparison of the Prognostic Significance of Left Ventricular Hypertrophy by Electrocardiogram and Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amjcard.2014.11.037Get rights and content

Despite the low sensitivity of the electrocardiogram (ECG) in detecting left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), ECG-LVH is known to be a strong predictor of cardiovascular risk. Understanding reasons for the discrepancies in detection of LVH by ECG versus imaging could help improve the diagnostic ability of ECG. We examined factors associated with false-positive and false-negative ECG-LVH, using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as the gold standard. We also compared the prognostic significance of ECG-LVH and MRI-LVH as predictors of cardiovascular events. This analysis included 4,748 participants (mean age 61.9 years, 53.5% females, 61.7% nonwhites). Logistic regression with stepwise selection was used to identify factors associated with false-positive (n = 208) and false-negative (n = 387), compared with true-positive (n = 208) and true-negative (n = 4,041) ECG-LVH, respectively. A false-negative ECG-LVH status was associated with increased odds of Hispanic race/ethnicity, current smoking, hypertension, increased systolic blood pressure, prolongation of QRS duration, and higher body mass index and with lower odds of increased ejection fraction (model-generalized R2 = 0.20). A false-positive ECG-LVH status was associated with lower odds of black race, Hispanic race/ethnicity, minor ST-T abnormalities, increased systolic blood pressure, and presence of any major electrocardiographic abnormalities (model-generalized R2 = 0.29). Both ECG-LVH and MRI-LVH were associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease events (hazard ratio 1.51, 95% confidence interval 1.03 to 2.20 and hazard ratio 1.81, 95% confidence interval 1.33 to 2.46, respectively). In conclusion, discrepancy in LVH detection by ECG and MRI can be relatively improved by considering certain participant characteristics. Discrepancy in diagnostic performance, yet agreement on predictive ability, suggests that LVH by ECG and LVH by imaging are likely to be two distinct but somehow related phenotypes.

Section snippets

Methods

MESA is a prospective longitudinal study aimed to explore the prevalence, correlates, and progression of subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) in a population-based multiethnic cohort. The description of the MESA study is provided elsewhere.9 Briefly, from July 2000 to August 2002, a total of 6,814 men and women aged 45 to 84 years and free of clinically apparent CVD were recruited from 6 US communities: Baltimore City and Baltimore County, Maryland; Chicago, Illinois; Forsyth County, North

Results

These analyses included 4,748 participants (age 61.9 ± 10.1 years, 53.5% women, 38.3% whites, 13.4% American Chinese, 25.8% African-American, 22.5% Hispanic). MRI- and ECG-LVH were present in 10.5% (n = 499) and 6.7% (n = 320) of the participants, respectively. About 2.4% (n = 112) of the participants had LVH by both MRI and ECG (i.e., true-positive ECG-LVH), and 85.1% (n = 4041) did not have LVH by either method (i.e., true-negative ECG-LVH). The remaining 12.5% (n = 595) of the participants

Discussion

In these analyses from the MESA study, we sought to identify factors associated with false-positive and false-negative ECG-LVH, aiming to find an explanation for the discrepancies between LVH by ECG and MRI. We also examined the association between ECG-LVH (stratified by its diagnostic accuracy) and risk of CVD events. The key findings from our study are as follows: (1) we have identified a number of factors associated with false-positive and false-negative ECG-LVH. However, these factors

Acknowledgment

This research was supported by contracts N01-HC-95159 through N01-HC-95169 from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. The authors thank the other investigators, the staff, and the participants of the MESA study for their valuable contributions. A full list of participating MESA investigators and institutions can be found at http://www.mesa-nhlbi.org.

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