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Original research
Association between troponin level and medium-term mortality in 20 000 hospital patients
  1. Jonathan Hinton1,2,
  2. Mark Nihal Mariathas1,2,
  3. Lavinia Gabara1,2,
  4. Rick Allan3,
  5. Zoe Nicholas2,
  6. Chun Shing Kwok4,
  7. Sanjay Ramamoorthy5,
  8. Alison Calver2,
  9. Simon Corbett2,
  10. Richard J Jabbour2,
  11. Michael Mahmoudi2,
  12. John Rawlins2,
  13. Rohit Sirohi2,
  14. James Richard Wilkinson2,
  15. Paul Cook3,
  16. Glen Philip Martin6,
  17. Mamas A Mamas4,7,
  18. Nick Curzen1,2
  1. 1 University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
  2. 2 Cardiology, University Hospital Southampton NHS Trust, Southampton, UK
  3. 3 Biochemistry, University Hospital Southampton NHD Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK, Southampton, UK
  4. 4 Cardiovascular Research Group, Keele University, Stoke-on-Trent, UK
  5. 5 Emergency Department, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK
  6. 6 Farr Institute, University of Manchester Institute of Population Health, Manchester, UK
  7. 7 Keele University, Keele, UK
  1. Correspondence to Professor Nick Curzen, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK; nick.curzen{at}uhs.nhs.uk

Abstract

Introduction Cardiac troponin (cTn) concentrations above the manufacturer recommended upper limit of normal (ULN) are frequently seen in hospital patients without a clinical presentation consistent with type 1 myocardial infarction, and the significance of this is uncertain. The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between medium-term mortality and cTn concentration in a large consecutive hospital population, regardless of whether there was a clinical indication for performing the test.

Method This prospective observational study included 20 000 consecutive in-hospital and outpatient patients who had a blood test for any reason at a large teaching hospital, and in whom a hs-cTnI assay was measured, regardless of the original clinical indication. Mortality was obtained via NHS Digital.

Results A total of 20 000 patients were included in the analysis and 18 282 of these (91.4%) did not have a clinical indication for cardiac troponin I (cTnI) testing. Overall, 2825 (14.1%) patients died at a median of 809 days. The mortality was significantly higher if the cTnI concentration was above the ULN (45.3% vs 12.3% p<0.001 log rank). Multivariable Cox analysis demonstrated that the log10 cTnI concentration was independently associated with mortality (HR 1.76 (95% CI 1.65 to 1.88)). Landmark analysis, excluding deaths within 30 days, showed the relationship between cTnI concentration and mortality persisted.

Conclusion In a large, unselected hospital population, in 91.4% of whom there was no clinical indication for testing, cTnI concentration was independently associated with medium-term cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality in the statistical model tested.

  • Myocardial Infarction

Data availability statement

No data are available. The nature of the data sharing agreement with NHS Digital prevents sharing of these data.

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Data availability statement

No data are available. The nature of the data sharing agreement with NHS Digital prevents sharing of these data.

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Footnotes

  • Twitter @DrShingKwok, @MMamas1973, @ncurzen

  • Contributors JH: Conceptualisation, data curation, formal analysis, investigation, methodology, project administration, resources, software, validation, visualisation, writing—original draft. MNM: Conceptualisation, data curation, formal analysis, funding acquisition, investigation, methodology, project administration, visualisation, writing—review and editing. LG: Investigation, methodology, project administration, visualisation, writing—review and editing. ZN: Conceptualisation, data curation, formal analysis, funding acquisition, investigation, methodology, project administration, visualisation, writing—review and editing. CSK: Formal analysis, investigation, methodology, visualisation, writing—review and editing; SR: Investigation, methodology, visualisation, writing—review and editing. AC: Conceptualisation, investigation, methodology, visualisation, writing—review and editing. SC: Conceptualisation, investigation, methodology, visualisation, writing - review and editing. RJJ: Investigation, visualisation, writing—review and editing. MM: Conceptualisation, investigation, methodology, project administration, visualisation, writing—review and editing. JR: Conceptualisation, investigation, methodology, visualisation, writing—review and editing. RS: Conceptualisation, investigation, methodology, visualisation, writing—review and editing. JW: Conceptualisation, investigation, methodology, visualisation, writing—review and editing. PC: Conceptualisation, funding acquisition, investigation, methodology, project administration, writing—review and editing. GPM: Investigation, methodology, visualisation, writing—review and editing. MAM: Formal analysis, investigation, methodology, visualisation, writing—review and editing. NC: Conceptualisation, data curation, formal analysis, funding acquisition, investigation, methodology, project administration, resources, software, supervision, validation, visualisation, writing—original draft, guarantor.

  • Funding Unrestricted Research Grant from Beckman Coulter (BC) for the high sensitivity troponin assays.

  • Competing interests NC: Unrestricted research grants from: Boston Scientific; Heartflow; Beckman Coulter. Speaker fees/consultancy from: Abbot Vascular; Heartflow; Boston Scientific; Travel sponsorship: Edwards; Biosensors, Abbot, Lilly/D-S; St Jude Medical, Medtronic. MM and MAM are on the editorial board of Heart.

  • Patient and public involvement Patients and/or the public were involved in the design, or conduct, or reporting or dissemination plans of this research. Refer to the Methods section for further details.

  • Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.

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