Cowie et al(1) reported high case fatality rates in a population-based
cohort of patients with incident heart failure between 1995 and 1996.
Survival was 81% at one month, 75% at 3 months, 70% at 6 months, 62% at 12
months and 57% at 18 months. There are few population data that describe
the contemporary survival of patients with heart failure.
Cowie et al(1) reported high case fatality rates in a population-based
cohort of patients with incident heart failure between 1995 and 1996.
Survival was 81% at one month, 75% at 3 months, 70% at 6 months, 62% at 12
months and 57% at 18 months. There are few population data that describe
the contemporary survival of patients with heart failure.
The Linked Morbidity Record Database contains accurate data on all
hospital admissions in Scotland since 1981 and is linked to the Registrar
General's death certificate data. Using this database, we analysed case
fatality in all 66,547 patients admitted to Scottish hospitals for the
first time with a principal diagnosis of heart failure in the period 1986
to 1995.(2) The study by Cowie et al looked at new cases of heart failure
referred to a rapid access clinic as well as those admitted to hospital.
Our results were remarkably consistent with those of Cowie et al. The
median age of our patients was 75 years (compared to 76 in their study)
and men accounted for 47% of our cohort (compared to 54% of theirs). In
1995 unadjusted survival was 81% at 30 days, 73% at three months, 67% at
six months, 58% at one year and 52% at 18 months. Median survival was
only 20 months. Whilst case fatality fell during the period of our study,
it remains high and is substantially greater than that reported in
clinical trials that enrol carefully selected patients.
The data from both these studies highlight the poor prognosis that
patients with heart failure continue to have in the UK. There is still
much room for further improvement in the management of heart failure.
K MacIntyre(1), S Capewell(2), S Stewart(1), JWT Chalmers(3), JJV McMurray(4)
(1) Department of Public Health, University of Glasgow
(2) Department of Public Health, University of Liverpool (3) Information and Statistics Division, Edinburgh
(4) Clinical Research Initiative in Heart Failure, University
of Glasgow
REFERENCES
1. Cowie MR, Wood DA, Coats AJS, Thompson SG, Suresh V, Poole-Wilson PA, Sutton GC. Survival of patients with a new diagnosis of heart failure: a population based study. Heart 2000;83:505-10.
2. MacIntyre K, Capewell S, Livingston M, Chalmers J, Boyd J, Finlayson A, Redpath A, Pell J, Evans C, McMurray JJV. Mortality trends in 86,000 patients admitted with heart failure 1981-1995. Eur Heart J 2000;20(suppl):471.
The excellent review by Ward on the clinical significance of the
bicuspid aortic valve (Heart 2000;83:81-85) is of great
interest and value. The extensive reference list as well put a good bit
of the pertinent bicuspid valve literature in one place. The paper adds
greatly to our knowledge.
However, without critiquing every issue in the paper, there are two
areas in particular I would...
The excellent review by Ward on the clinical significance of the
bicuspid aortic valve (Heart 2000;83:81-85) is of great
interest and value. The extensive reference list as well put a good bit
of the pertinent bicuspid valve literature in one place. The paper adds
greatly to our knowledge.
However, without critiquing every issue in the paper, there are two
areas in particular I would like to discuss. As a pediatric cardiologist
who has been in one division for 40 years, there is considerable natural
history which has been learned, although, perhaps in order to make my
statements I would really have to work in one place for 70 years.
I have seen a huge number of patients with a true bicuspid aortic
valve and I have never seen a patient with a dissecting aneurysm. As Dr.
Ward states, the reason for the reported high incidence of aortic
dissection in the presence of an aortic bicuspid aortic valve is unclear,
particularly since the author states that the bicuspid valve is usually
normally functioning. Although the post bicuspid valve dilatation of the
ascending aorta in the presence of systemic hypertension certainly makes
the environment possible, Dr. Ward’s paper makes no mention as to whether
he has personally seen a patient with dissection. The estimated
incidence of 5% of patients with bicuspid valve having
dissection of the aorta seems very much too high.
The second issue refers to whether or not the patient born with
bicuspid aortic valve and no stenosis is expected to progress to reach
real aortic stenosis as the patient ages in the absence of infective
endocarditis. The accepted knowledge over the years has been that the
elderly with calcific aortic stenosis began with a bicuspid aortic valve,
including the valve with no stenosis to begin with. Evidence for such has
never been documented and perhaps cannot, unless a 100 year prospective
study is planned and funded. The implication of Dr. Ward’s article is not
quite that, for he doesn’t really discuss the patient with bicuspid aortic
valve and no stenosis. He only states, appropriately, that patients with
mild aortic stenosis are expected to progress in adulthood, even patients
with echocardiographic mean gradient of less than 25 mmHg. However, this
does not answer the question as to whether the patients with true bicuspid
aortic valve and no stenosis are expected to progress. In order to
discuss this issue, one needs the physical examination. Is there
a difference in natural history between the patient with true bicuspid
aortic valve with no stenosis and a true bicuspid aortic valve with mild
stenosis? In the early two decades of my 40 years, the diagnosis of
bicuspid aortic valve without stenosis was made by recognizing an aortic
ejection click with no heart murmur. I accept that occasionally an error
can be made in that the presumed aortic ejection click is in actual fact
an unusually loud tricuspid valve component of a normally split first
sound. But in the recent two decades, with echocardiography, confirmation
has been readily available. The patient with a bicuspid aortic valve and
mild aortic stenosis is diagnosed by having the aortic ejection click
plus a normally split second sound and an aortic stenosis murmur at the
second right interspace that is significant but usually stops clearly
before aortic valve closure. The latter will usually have a mean gradient
of less than 25 mmHg in the echo, just as will obviously the patient with
no stenosis. Dr. Ward because of the nature of his review does not
separate these groups. In my 40 years, I have seen many patients with
mild stenosis progress, but I have seen none with no stenosis progress.
In addition, the subgroup of patients with coarctation of the aorta has a
very high incidence of bicuspid valve without stenosis. I have never seen
one of these develop aortic stenosis either.
I realize that 40 years is not 70 years, but since it is unlikely to
be able to find all these patients with no stenosis for an associate to
follow for 30 or 40 more years answering the question for certain at this
time appears unlikely. However, it would be in cumbent upon all of us to
modify what we teach our students and what we advise our families. As far
as we know, the bicuspid aortic valve without stenosis remains without
stenosis.
Sincerely,
Jerome Liebman MD
Division of Pediatric Cardiology
Professor of Pediatrics
Rainbow Babies & Children’s Hospital
Case Western Reserve University
Sir,
We read with interest the editorial on homocysteine, B vitamins and the
risk of cardiovascular disease.(1) The editorial highlighted that the B
vitamins are being used to treat homocysteine - mediated vascular
disease. However, this presupposes that the absolute levels of
homocysteine are the only determinants of the pathological impact of the
amino acid.
We have recently proposed an alternative mechan...
Sir,
We read with interest the editorial on homocysteine, B vitamins and the
risk of cardiovascular disease.(1) The editorial highlighted that the B
vitamins are being used to treat homocysteine - mediated vascular
disease. However, this presupposes that the absolute levels of
homocysteine are the only determinants of the pathological impact of the
amino acid.
We have recently proposed an alternative mechanism that may
be central to the pathophysiology of hyperhomocysteinaemia that would
not be prevented wholly by the B vitamins.
As was stressed in the editorial,(1) it is now widely accepted that
homocysteine auto-oxidises to form hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) and
superoxide (O2-). In turn, H2O2 and O2- elicit a number of
pro-atherogenic effects including damage to the vascular endothelium and
the promotion of vascular smooth muscle cells proliferation.(2-4)
Homocysteine also reduces nitric oxide (NO) activity, which has been
widely implicated in the aetiology of atherogenesis.(2-4) In both young
and elderly patients with hyperhomocysteinaemia there is impaired
endothelium (NO)-dependent relaxation of arteries.(5,6) In vitro,
homocysteine attenuates endothelial production of bioactive NO(7,8)
through its reaction with O2- generated by homocysteine to form
peroxynitrite (ONOO), effectively reducing the bioavailability of NO.
However, in these latter in vitro studies, tissues were exposed to high
levels of homocysteine (1 millimolar and greater), whereas the
vasculopathic levels of homocysteine are accepted as being 15
micromolar and greater.(2-4)
This indicated to us that homocysteine may
be interacting with another substance in vivo to promote atherogenesis.
We thus demonstrated that bivalent copper (20 micromolar [equivalent to
total blood levels]) markedly increases the inhibitory potency of
homocysteine (from 1 millimolar to 100 micromolar) on NO-mediated
arterial relaxation.(9,10) These inhibitory effects were reversed by
catalase and superoxide dismutase, demonstrating that copper interacts
with homocysteine to generate H2O2 and O2- which reduces NO through the
formation of ONOO.(9,10)
Under normal conditions free copper is virtually absent and is tightly
bound to proteins including caeruloplasmin. It has been shown that
copper bound to caeruloplasmin catalyses the generation of H2O2 from
homocysteine.(11,12) Thus, copper need not necessarily be dissociated from
protein binding sites for redox cascade reactions to take
place. ONOO also releases copper from protein binding sites,(13)
indicating that in regions where there are high levels of ONOO, that
copper may exist in its free form, albeit transiently. It is notable
that copper levels are elevelated in patients with
hyperhomocysteinaemia.(14)
Copper, in its own right has long been
implicated in atherogenesis.(15)
At present, the principal treatment for reducing plasma levels of
homocysteine is the administration of folic acid, alone or with vitamin
B6 or B121. However, it is still not clear whether a reduction in
homocysteine levels by this vitamin supplementation leads to prevention
of arterial disease. If indeed the absolute level of homocysteine is not
the only determinant of vasculopathy and copper (and possibly other
transition metals) plays an augmentory role, then alternative
therapeutic strategies should be considered. These include the
administration of free radical scavengers, antioxidants and copper
chelators such as penicillamine.
JY Jeremy, A Lotto, R Ascione, I Wan and GD Angelini
Department of Cardiac Surgery
Bristol Royal Infirmary
Bristol BS2 8HW, UK
References
1) Robinson K. Homocysteine, B vitamins and risk of cardiovascular
disease. Heart 2000; 83: 127-130
2) Loscalzo J. The oxidant stress of hyperhomocysteinemia. J Clin Invest
1996; 98: 5-7.
3) Emsley AM, Plane F, Jackson CL, Miller AL, Jeremy JY. Oxidant stress,
nitric oxide and transition metals in homocysteinaemic angiopathy: novel
mechanisms. Vasc Dis 1998; 1: 66-72.
4) Jeremy JY, Rowe D, Emsley AM, Newby AC. Nitric oxide and vascular
smooth muscle cell proliferation. Cardiovasc Res 1999; 43: 658-665.
5) Kamp C, Jakobs JA, Rauwerda C. Hyperhomocysteinaemia and endothelial
dysfunction in young patients with occlusive peripheral arterial
disease. Eur J Clin Invest 1995; 25: 176-181.
6) Tawakoi A, Omland T, Gerhard M, Wu JY, Creager MA.
Hyperhomocysteinaemia is associated with impaired endothelium-dependent
vasodilation in humans. Circulation 1997; 95: 1119-1121.
7) Jia L, Furchgott RF. Blockade of nitric oxide mediated relaxation of
rabbit aorta by cysteine and homocysteine. Acta Pharmacologica Sinica
1997; 18: 11-20.
8) Lang D, Hussain SA, Lewis MJ. Homocysteine inhibits
endothelium-dependent relaxation in isolated rabbit aortic rings. Br J
Pharmacol 1997; 120: 145P.
9) Emsley F, Plane F, Angelini GD, Jeremy JY. Copper interacts with
homocysteine to inhibit nitric oxide mediated relaxation in the rat
aorta. Br J Pharmacol 1997; 122: 47P
10) Emsley A, Jeremy JY, Gomes G, Angelini GD, Plane F. Copper interacts
with homocysteine to inhibit nitric oxide formation in the rat isolated
aorta. Br J Pharmacol 1999; 126: 1034-1040.
11) Starkebaum G, Harlan JM. Endothelial cell injury due to
copper-catalyzed hydrogen peroxide generation from homocysteine. J Clin
Invest 1986; 77: 1370-1376.
12) Cappelini-Bigazzi M, Ambrosio G, Musci G, Battaglia C, Bonaccorsi di
Patti MC, Golino P, Ragni M, Chiariello M, Calabrese L. Ceruloplasmin
impairs endothelium-dependent relaxation of rabbit aorta. Am J Physiol
1997; 273: H2843-H2849
13) Swain JA, Darley-Usmar V, Gutteridge JMC. Peroxynitrite releases
copper from caeruloplasmin: implications for atherosclerosis. FEBS Lett
1994; 342: 49-52.
14) Dudman NPB, Wilcken DEL. Increased plasma copper in patients with
homocysteinuria due to cystathionine b-synthase deficiency. Clin Chim
Acta 1983; 127: 105-113.
15) Iskra M, Patelski J, Majewski W. Concentrations of calcium,
magnesium, zinc and copper in relation to free fatty acids and
cholesterol in serum of atherosclerotic men. J Trace Elem Electrolytes
Health Dis 1993; 7: 185-188.
While December's editorial on non-cardiac chest pain is thoughtful
and thorough,(1) there is a strange lack of emphasis on skeletal chest
pain. I am not sure if this is due to selection of patients, but I wonder
if it is the lack of a diagnostic test for skeletal pain. Since this may
involve up to 73% of patients referred with chest pain to cardiac
clinics,(2) it would seem to be of paramount importance. The author...
While December's editorial on non-cardiac chest pain is thoughtful
and thorough,(1) there is a strange lack of emphasis on skeletal chest
pain. I am not sure if this is due to selection of patients, but I wonder
if it is the lack of a diagnostic test for skeletal pain. Since this may
involve up to 73% of patients referred with chest pain to cardiac
clinics,(2) it would seem to be of paramount importance. The authors
comment on the possibility that "abnormalities" (namely oesophageal and
respiratory) may be "coincidental rather than causative" and that 60% of
patients with normal coronary angiograms and non-cardiac chest pain have a
psychiatric disorder. We all occasionally recommend angiography in
patients who cannot adapt to the pidgeonhole we offer to give more
strength to our arm, which suggests that a higher percentage of patients
with non-cardiac chest pain and psychiatric disorders will get angiography
than those who are mentally more balanced; in addition Mayou and his
colleagues have themselves demonstrated that patients who are told that
their hearts are normal but are not given a clear diagnosis remain in
trouble,(3) so it is perhaps not surprising that psychiatrists find a high
level of psychiatric disorder in these people.
In a letter to Heart,(4) I reported the reproduction of chest pain by
testing the passive range of movements and found that of 27 patients with
clinically non-cardiac chest pain one had oesophageal reflux (and
responded to treatment for this), one had costochondral joint pain and 22
had their symptoms reproduced by spinal movements. Incidentally at one
year some still had symptoms but none had been off work because of their
presenting symptoms or admitted to hospital with chest pain. This pain can
sometimes be both reproduced and relieved by intercostal nerve block (C
Davidson, personal communication). We are doing a larger study at present
but it does seem that manipulating the spine as described by Chambers et al is a
sound way of demonstrating to patient and doctor that the the pain is
mechanical. Only 7 out of 27 responded to non-steroidal anti-inflammatory
drugs; I think it is likely that postural training or (pace the
unbelievers) manipulation will do better. The hardest patients to manage
seem to be those with cardiac and skeletal pain.
The authors suggest a psychological cause if there is a situational
or phobic component to the somatic symptoms; but anxiety appears to
increase mechanical symptoms such as sciatica due to a lumbar disc,
perhaps by increased muscle tone; it is not the cause of the
symptoms.
Exercise testing is a two edged sword (did they ever make single
edged swords?). The authors mention the value of a negative test, but of
equal importance is the danger of a positive in someone with coronary
disease but non-cardiac chest pain, and the risk of intervention with no
relief of symptoms, further angiography etc.
Finally the authors suggest that for patients with "continuing
symptoms---with coexisting psychological problems" a specialist nurse who
has received additional training should be employed in the cardiac clinic
to help them. Surely if the patient has been told that they have no
cardiac disease the last place they should be followed is the cardiac
clinic whatever the actual cause of their symptoms.
I know the north-south divide involves more than house prices, but I
find it hard to believe that chest pain in Oxford or London is too
different from that in Lancashire, assuming that referral is not biased.
To demonstrate a physical cause is of tremendous importance as we are
looking at thousands of referrals per year who, if managed by their
general practitioner, would contribute to a significant drop in our
waiting lists. I suggest that some of those thousands have demonstrable
skeletal pain, and that we are missing them.
References
1 Chambers J, Bass C, Mayou R. Non-cardiac chest pain: assessment and
management. Heart 1999;82:656-7.
2 Jain D, Fluck D, Sayer JW, et al. Ability of a one-stop chest pain clinic
to identify high risk patients... J R Coll Phys Lond 1997;31:401-4.
3 Mayou R, Bryant B, Sanders D, et al. A controlled trial of cognitive
behavioural therapy for non-cardiac chest pain. Psychol Med 1997;27:1021-31.
4 Best RA. Non-cardiac chest pain: a useful physical sign? [letter] Heart 1999;81:450.
We read with interest the review of congenitally bicuspid aortic
valve by Ward.[1] The complications of congenitally bicuspid aortic
valve, including aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation and aortic
dissection, are well documented in this review.
It is interesting to note the association of congenitally bicuspid
aortic valve with aortic medial disease (cystic medial necrosis),
coarct...
We read with interest the review of congenitally bicuspid aortic
valve by Ward.[1] The complications of congenitally bicuspid aortic
valve, including aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation and aortic
dissection, are well documented in this review.
It is interesting to note the association of congenitally bicuspid
aortic valve with aortic medial disease (cystic medial necrosis),
coarctation and congenital aortic arch abnormalities.[2][3] Some
investigators have postulated a common pathogenesis of aortic valve and
aorta diseases with evidence that the aortic valve and portions of the
aorta may share a common embryonic origin.[4]
We recently studied the degree of aortic medial degenerative changes
associated with congenitally bicuspid and tricuspid aortic valves in
patients with aortic stenosis, who died shortly after aortic valve
replacement.[5] Patients with aortic dissection were excluded. The
association between bicuspid aortic valve and dissection, and thus with
aortic medial degenerative changes (cystic medial necrosis), is usually
derived from case reports or series of patients dying from or being
operated upon for aortic dissection. We thought that the data were
probably biased to reflect patients with severe medial disease, and thus
we decided to re-evaluate these changes in patients without dissection.
To our surprise, computer aided morphometry demonstrated that the
aortas of congenitally bicuspid aortic valve patients had less elastic
tissue than those patients with tricuspid aortic valves. Routine
histological evaluation by light microscopy of the same aortic sections,
even with the use of elastic stains, did not demonstrate a significant
difference.
These independent findings also support the echocardiographic
observations of Pachulski and colleagues, who demonstrated an association
of aortic dilatation with bicuspid aortic valve in the absence of
hemodynamic valvular abnormalities.[6]
We agree with the conclusions of Ward.[1] Patients with congenitally
bicuspid aortic valve may be prone to aortic degeneration with age and
should be closely monitored. Alterations in the aortic media may be part
of the disease spectrum of congenitally bicuspid aortic valve.
John P. Veinot M.D., FRCPC Assoc. Professor Pathology University of Ottawa
University of Ottawa Heart Institute
Ottawa Hospital Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
REFERENCES
1. Ward C. Clinical significance of the bicuspid aortic valve. Heart
2000;83:81-85.
2. Roberts WC. The congenitally bicuspid aortic valve: a study of 85
autopsy cases. Am J Cardiol 1970;26:72-83.
3. Larson EW, Edwards WD. Risk factors for aortic dissection: A necropsy
study of 161 cases. Am J Cardiol 1984;53:849-855.
4. Schievink WI, Mokri B. Familial aorto-cervicocephalic arterial
dissections and congenitally bicuspid aortic valve. Stroke 1995;26:1935-
1940.
5. Parai JL, Masters RG, Walley VM, Stinson WA, Veinot JP. Aortic medial
changes associated with bicuspid aortic valve: Myth or reality ? Can J
Cardiol 1999;15:1233-1238.
6. Pachulski RT, Weinberg AL, Chan KL. Aortic aneurysm in patients with
functionally normal or minimally stenotic bicuspid aortic valve.
Am J Cardiol 1991;67:781-782.
In my review on risk stratification in acute coronary syndromes,
"diagnostic value" was used conventionally to refer to the ability of
predischarge tests to predict future coronary events, particularly death
and myocardial infarction.
In response to the 3 additional points:
1. Cost-effectiveness Underwood et al are correct to caution me on
statements of cost-effectiveness. My contention was (...
In my review on risk stratification in acute coronary syndromes,
"diagnostic value" was used conventionally to refer to the ability of
predischarge tests to predict future coronary events, particularly death
and myocardial infarction.
In response to the 3 additional points:
1. Cost-effectiveness Underwood et al are correct to caution me on
statements of cost-effectiveness. My contention was (and remains) that
predischarge stress testing is usually as effective as perfusion imaging
for risk stratification and costs less. The superior quality of SPECT
compared with conventional perfusion imaging may confer some advantage
(see below) but the considerable capital costs involved will inevitably
limit its application.
2. Exercise ECG versus Perfusion Imaging Underwood et al are
incorrect to infer superiority of predischarge perfusion imaging from the
data presented in the metaanalysis of Shaw et al (1). Cardiac event rates
were higher in the studies of myocardial perfusion imaging, readily
accounting for the apparent difference between positive predictive values
for these diagnostic tests. It is for the same reason, incidentally, that
both tests appear to perform better in patients who have not received
thrombolytic therapy. Shaw emphasises in her metaanalysis that both the
exercise ECG and the radionuclide perfusion scan are blunt tools for risk
stratification and my algorithm recommends use of either test, without
expressing a preference. Underwood et al draw attention to 3 papers
comparing the exercise ECG with SPECT imaging that post-dated ShawÆs
metaanalysis (2-4). Two showed some advantage for SPECT imaging although
positive predictive values for events after hospital discharge appeared
low (specific data not provided), confirming previous reports (2-3). The
other was a small (n=71) retrospective series, in which the only
multivariate predictor of death and recurrent infarction was LV ejection
fraction (4). Only when the endpoint was extended to incorporate unstable
angina and heart failure did perfusion imaging provide independent
prognostic information. Set against the 36 studies (16,960 patients)
included in ShawÆs metaanalysis, the additional 3 selected by Underwood et
al are not overly persuasive but suggest that SPECT technology may have an
edge over the exercise ECG for risk stratification.
3. Incremental value of perfusion imaging Although one of the
studies quoted by Underwood et al found that SPECT perfusion imaging was
not independently predictive of death and recurrent infarction if LV
ejection fraction was included in the multivariate model (4), they quote
another in which incremental value was demonstrated (5). Data for stress
testing are similarly contradictory. For this reason I recommended
application of these tests (exercise ECG or perfusion scan) only in
patients with advanced LV dysfunction (LVEF <_40 in="in" whom="whom" risk="risk" is="is" greatest.="greatest." unpublished="unpublished" data="data" for="for" our="our" own="own" low="low" patients="patients" discharged="discharged" with="with" lvef="lvef"/>40% by GUSTO criteria (6)) show the estimated risk of death in
the first year is only 3.8% (2.1-5.4%) and of death and recurrent
infarction 9.8% (7.1-12.4%). The idea that these relatively low risk
survivors of acute myocardial infarction would benefit from further risk
stratification using perfusion imaging (or stress tesing) seems barely
credible. This does not of course mean that the tests should not be done
but it does mean that incautious predictions of "cost-effectiveness" may
be incorrect.
In summary, SPECT imaging may offer a small advantage over the
exercise ECG for detection of residual ischaemia in patients with acute
coronary syndromes, although it remains a blunt tool for risk
stratification. Speaking from the perspective of the coronary care unit,
there is no doubt that the availability and low cost of exercise testing
(as opposed to the relative nonavailabiltiy and high cost of SPECT
imaging) will make it a more practical solution for predischarge risk
stratification in most centres. However, perfusion imaging is a
reasonable, perhaps better, alternative in those units able to provide a
predischarge service for upward of 700 coronary patients per year, and my
algorithm allows for this.
Adam D Timmis MD, FRCP
References
1. Shaw LJ, Peterson ED, Kesler K, Hasselblad V, Califf RM. A
metaanalysis of predischarge risk stratification after acute myocardial
infarction with stress electrocardiographic, myocardial perfusion, and
ventricular function imaging. Am J Cardiol 1996;78:1327-37.
2. Travin MI, Dessouki A, Cameron T, Heller GV. Use of exercise
technetium-99m sestamibi SPECT imaging to detect residual ischemia and for
risk stratification after acute myocardial infarction Am J Cardiol
1995;75:665-9.
3. Brown KA, Heller GV, Landin RS, Shaw LJ, Beller GA, Pasquale MJ,
Haber SB. Early dipyridamole (99m)Tc-sestamibi single photon emission
computed tomographic imaging 2 to 4 days after acute myocardial infarction
predicts in-hospital and postdischarge cardiac events: comparison with
submaximal exercise imaging. Circulation 1999;100:2060-6.
4. Dakik HA, Mahmarian JJ, Kimball KT, Koutelou MG, Medrano R, Verani
MS. Prognostic value of exercise 201Tl tomography in patients treated with
thrombolytic therapy during acute myocardial infarction. Circulation.
1996;94:2735-42.
5. Mahmarian JJ, Mahmarian AC, Marks GF, Pratt CM, Verani MS. Role of
adenosine thallium-201 tomography for defining long-term risk in patients
after acute myocardial infarction. J Am Coll Cardiol 1995;25:1333-40.
Adam Timmis gives an excellent overview of risk stratification in acute coronary syndromes and he outlines recommended management strategies.[1] We were confused however by his suggestion that "the diagnostic value of exertional ST segment depression and thallium perfusion defects are equivalent, making the treadmill more cost effective than the gamma camera". It is not clear whether the diagnostic value to which he refers is...
Adam Timmis gives an excellent overview of risk stratification in acute coronary syndromes and he outlines recommended management strategies.[1] We were confused however by his suggestion that "the diagnostic value of exertional ST segment depression and thallium perfusion defects are equivalent, making the treadmill more cost effective than the gamma camera". It is not clear whether the diagnostic value to which he refers is the diagnosis of coronary disease, the detection of residual myocardial ischaemia, or the prediction of future coronary events. He quotes a meta-analysis of Shaw and colleagues [2] who reviewed non-invasive tests in assessing the risk of coronary events after myocardial infarction, hence we presume that he intended to say that the exercise ECG is equally effective and hence more cost-effective than the gamma camera for risk stratification. We do not believe that this view is justified and we would like to expand on three points.
First, there are no formal studies of the cost-effectiveness of risk stratification after infarction, and in their absence it is not warranted to extrapolate from the effectiveness and cost of individual tests to a statement on cost-effectiveness. To do so ignores induced costs (for instance when an abnormal exercise ECG leads to angiography without subsequent intervention), it ignores the relatively high failure rate of the exercise ECG after infarction (submaximal exercise, abnormal resting ECG, etc), and it ignores the need for further investigation in the chronic phase (such as myocardial perfusion imaging if this has not already been performed). For the diagnosis of coronary artery disease, there is now powerful evidence to indicate that strategies that include myocardial perfusion imaging are more cost effective than those that do not.[3][4] Because diagnosis involves the detection of ischaemia and because persistent ischaemia after infarction is a key factor in prognosis, it is likely that formal studies of cost effectiveness of risk stratification would provide similar results.
Second, although the positive predictive value of any form of pre-discharge non-invasive testing is low,[2] Dr Timmis ignores the superior positive predictive value of perfusion imaging compared with the exercise ECG in patients who have not received thrombolysis (13% versus 9% for death and 24% versus 18% for death or reinfarction). Since the distinction between patients who have and who have not received thrombolysis is mainly the size of their infarcts, it seems to us that a test that is capable of assessing infarct size and prognosis in those with large infarcts should not be cast aside so easily. Shaw and colleagues[2] also emphasised the relatively poor quality of the studies available. For instance, three quarters of the studies were retrospective and one third reported fewer than 5 deaths, and they recognised the need for further studies to provide more reliable information. Further high quality studies are now available and we believe that the weight of evidence is that perfusion imaging is more effective than the exercise ECG for risk stratification after myocardial infarction.
Numerous studies have shown that inducible perfusion abnormalities are more common than ST segment changes on the exercise ECG.[5][6][7] This extends observations from the era before thrombolysis when an inducible thallium defect was shown to be better than the exercise ECG for detecting and localising ischaemia and for identifying multi-vessel disease. However, because thrombolysis has reduced the event rate after infarction, there are those who argue that the event rate is now so low that myocardial perfusion imaging is less valuable after infarction than it was.[5] [8] However these studies included a relatively low risk group with younger patients, preserved left ventricular function, and a low prevalence of multi-vessel disease. The higher risk patients were excluded because they mainly went straight to angiography and revascularisation and it is precisely these who would have been best identified by myocardial perfusion imaging if doubt remained after clinical assessment. In addition, selection bias was operating against perfusion imaging because when it was performed the results were used to guide intervention and hence to exclude the patient from follow-up. It is not surprising that non-invasive testing was not found to be valuable in the few remaining low risk patients.
In better designed studies there is now ample evidence that perfusion imaging is a valuable tool for risk stratification after infarction. Dakik and colleagues[7] reported that a predischarge exercise myocardial perfusion scan in patients who had received thombolysis provided incremental prognostic information over and above clinical and ejection fraction data. In contrast, none of the variables from the exercise ECG contributed to the assessment of prognosis. Similarly, Travin and colleagues[9] found that myocardial perfusion imaging within 14 days of infarction frequently revealed residual ischaemia and was better than clinical and exercise ECG variables in identifying patients at high risk. More recently, Brown and colleagues[10] reported a multi-centre trial in patients with first acute infarction. Three hundred and thirty nine patients were randomised to early (2 to 4 days) dipyridamole myocardial perfusion imaging followed by predischarge (6 to 12 days) sub-maximal exercise imaging, and 112 patients were randomised to submaximal predischarge imaging alone. The findings of the early perfusion study were not available to the responsible physicians and hence patient management was not affected. Early dipyridamole imaging was safe and was predictive of both in-hospital and late cardiac events, and it was a stronger predictor than predischarge submaximal exercise ECG or submaximal exercise perfusion imaging. This prognostic value was independent of thrombolytic status.
Third, with regard to the influence of left ventricular function on prognostic power, Mahmarian and colleagues[11] compared adenosine perfusion imaging and ejection fraction after infarction and found them to have complementary roles. They found that even patients with an ejection fraction greater than 40% were further stratified into low and high risk groups by the extent of the inducible perfusion defect. This study and the guidelines of the American College of Physicians[12] contradict Dr Timmis's recommendation that further risk stratification is not required in asymptomatic patients with an ejection fraction greater than 40%. Indeed, the ACP guidelines suggest that these are the patients in whom non-invasive risk stratification is most successful.
With the growing pressure to reduce costs but maintain quality of care, accurate risk stratification at an early stage using myocardial perfusion imaging with vasodilator stress in all but the highest risk patients could have important benefits. Low risk patients could be discharged earlier than those at a higher risk and in-hospital cardiac events might be prevented. Because of the complementary role of perfusion and functional information, it is conceivable that combined assessment of both using gated SPECT could be highly effective in routine use, particularly since left ventricular end systolic volume appears to be more powerful in prognostic terms than ejection fraction alone.
In summary, we believe that there is sufficient evidence to modify Dr Timmis's algorithm to require early myocardial perfusion imaging rather than exercise ECG in all but the highest risk patients assessed by clinical criteria, and to include patients with relatively preserved LVEF in this strategy. We predict that such an approach will be cost-effective.
S Richard Underwood, MD, FRCP, FRCR, FESC
Imperial College School of Medicine
Royal Brompton Hospital
Sydney St, London SW3 6NP
Constantinos Anagnostopoulos MD, PhD
Royal Brompton Hospital
Sydney St, London SW3 6NP
Leslee J Shaw PhD
Emory University School of Medicine
1518 Clifton Road NE, Rm638
Atlanta, Georgia 30322, USA
References
1 Timmis A. Acute coronary syndromes: risk stratification. Heart 2000;83:241-6.
2 Shaw LJ, Peterson ED, Kesler K, et al. A metaanalysis of predischarge risk stratification after acute myocardial infarction with stress electrocardiographic, myocardial perfusion and ventricular function imaging. Am J Cardiol 1996;78:1327-37.
3 Underwood SR, Godman B, Salyani S, et al. Economics of myocardial perfusion imaging in Europe: the EMPIRE study. Eur Heart J 1999;20:157-66.
4 Shaw LJ, Hachamovitch R, Berman DS, et al. The economic consequences of available diagnostic and prognostic strategies for the evaluation of stable angina patients: an observational assessment of the value of precatheterisation ischaemia. J Am Coll Cardiol 1999;33:661-9.
5 Tilkemeier PL, Guiney TE, LaRaia PJ, et al. Prognostic value of predischarge low-level exercise thallium testing after thrombolytic treatment of acute myocardial infarction. Am J Cardiol 1990;66:1203-7.
6 Haber HL, Beller GA, Watson DD, et al. Exercise thallium-201 scintigraphy after thrombolytic therapy with or without angioplasty for acute myocardial infarction. Am J Cardiol 1993;71:1257-61.
7 Dakik HA, Mahmarian JJ, Kimball KT, et al. Prognostic value of exercise 201Tl tomography in patients treated with thrombolytic therapy during acute myocardial infarction. Circulation 1996;94:2735-42.
8 Miller TD, Gersh BJ, Christian TF, et al. Limited prognostic value of thallium-201 exercise treadmill testing early after myocardial infarction in patients treated with thrombolysis. Am Heart J 1995;130:259-66.
9 Travin MI, Dessouki A, Cameron T, et al. Use of exercise technetium-99m sestamibi SPECT imaging to detect residual ischemia and for risk stratification after acute myocardial infarction. Am J Cardiol 1995;75:665-9.
10 Brown KA, Heller GV, Landin RS, et al. Early dipyridamole (99m)Tc-sestamibi single photon emission computed tomographic imaging 2 to 4 days after acute myocardial infarction predicts in-hospital and postdischarge cardiac events: comparison with submaximal exercise imaging. Circulation 1999;100:2060-6.
11 Mahmarian JJ, Mahmarian AC, Marks GF, et al. Role of adenosine thallium-201 tomography for defining long-term risk in patients after acute myocardial infarction. J Am Coll Cardiol 1995;25:1333-40.
12 Peterson ED, Shaw LJ, Kesler K, et al. Clinical guideline: part II. Risk stratification after myocardial infarction. Ann Intern Med 1997;126:561-82.
To the Editor;
Cowie et al(1) reported high case fatality rates in a population-based cohort of patients with incident heart failure between 1995 and 1996. Survival was 81% at one month, 75% at 3 months, 70% at 6 months, 62% at 12 months and 57% at 18 months. There are few population data that describe the contemporary survival of patients with heart failure.
The Linked Morbidity Record Database con...
Dear Editor:
The excellent review by Ward on the clinical significance of the bicuspid aortic valve (Heart 2000;83:81-85) is of great interest and value. The extensive reference list as well put a good bit of the pertinent bicuspid valve literature in one place. The paper adds greatly to our knowledge.
However, without critiquing every issue in the paper, there are two areas in particular I would...
We read with interest the editorial on homocysteine, B vitamins and the risk of cardiovascular disease.(1) The editorial highlighted that the B vitamins are being used to treat homocysteine - mediated vascular disease. However, this presupposes that the absolute levels of homocysteine are the only determinants of the pathological impact of the amino acid.
We have recently proposed an alternative mechan...
While December's editorial on non-cardiac chest pain is thoughtful and thorough,(1) there is a strange lack of emphasis on skeletal chest pain. I am not sure if this is due to selection of patients, but I wonder if it is the lack of a diagnostic test for skeletal pain. Since this may involve up to 73% of patients referred with chest pain to cardiac clinics,(2) it would seem to be of paramount importance. The author...
To the Editor;
We read with interest the review of congenitally bicuspid aortic valve by Ward.[1] The complications of congenitally bicuspid aortic valve, including aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation and aortic dissection, are well documented in this review.
It is interesting to note the association of congenitally bicuspid aortic valve with aortic medial disease (cystic medial necrosis), coarct...
In my review on risk stratification in acute coronary syndromes, "diagnostic value" was used conventionally to refer to the ability of predischarge tests to predict future coronary events, particularly death and myocardial infarction.
In response to the 3 additional points:
1. Cost-effectiveness Underwood et al are correct to caution me on statements of cost-effectiveness. My contention was (...
Pages