RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Cardiovascular disease risk scores in identifying future frailty: the Whitehall II prospective cohort study JF Heart JO Heart FD BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and British Cardiovascular Society SP 737 OP 742 DO 10.1136/heartjnl-2012-302922 VO 99 IS 10 A1 Kim Bouillon A1 G David Batty A1 Mark Hamer A1 Severine Sabia A1 Martin J Shipley A1 Annie Britton A1 Archana Singh-Manoux A1 Mika Kivimäki YR 2013 UL http://heart.bmj.com/content/99/10/737.abstract AB Objectives To examine the capacity of existing cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk algorithms widely used in primary care, to predict frailty. Design Prospective cohort study. Risk algorithms at baseline (1997–1999) were the Framingham CVD, coronary heart disease and stroke risk scores, and the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation. Setting Civil Service departments in London, UK. Participants 3895 participants (73% men) aged 45–69 years and free of CVD at baseline. Main outcome measure Status of frailty at the end of follow-up (2007–2009), based on the following indicators: self-reported exhaustion, low physical activity, slow walking speed, low grip strength and weight loss. Results At the end of the follow-up, 2.8% (n=108) of the sample was classified as frail. All four CVD risk scores were associated with future risk of developing frailty, with ORs per one SD increment in the score ranging from 1.35 (95% CI 1.21 to 1.51) for the Framingham stroke score to 1.42 (1.23 to 1.62) for the Framingham CVD score. These associations remained after excluding incident CVD cases. For comparison, the corresponding ORs for the risk scores and incident cardiovascular events varied between 1.36 (1.15 to 1.61) and 1.64 (1.50 to 1.80) depending on the risk algorithm. Conclusions The use of CVD risk scores in clinical practice may also have utility for frailty prediction.