Table 2

 Clinical and ECG factors used to derive logistic regression models

Input itemLog10 LRNotes
The 45 potential input items are listed in descending order of their log10 likelihood ratios (log10 LRs). Data item 45 (chest wall tenderness) was not present in any patient with ACS and log10 LR was set at −2.5. The data items are listed in the same order as they are shown in fig 1.
IHD rhythm was coded as 1 if patient had atrial fibrillation or supraventricular tachycardia.
A, inputs used in the eight factor model; B, inputs used in the 14 factor model; C, items used in the 25 factor model. The 43 factor model used all inputs except two logically redundant inputs (D).
Hypoperfusion1.6A B C
ST depression1.6A B C
ST elevation1.5A B C
New Q waves1.4A B C
T wave inversion1.1A B C
Added heart sounds0.93A B C
Crackles0.88A B C
Nausea/vomiting0.51A B C
Pain radiating to right arm0.36C
Sweating0.32C
Age category 3 (>60 years)0.31C
Diabetes0.27C
Worse than previous angina0.24C
Pain radiating to left arm0.21C
Cardiac rhythm0.2NA
Hypertension0.19NA
Pain described as tight0.18NA
Former smoker0.16NA
Previous angina0.15NA
Retrosternal chest pain0.14NA
Previous MI0.12NA
Duration category 1 (<4 hours)0.11NA
Syncope0.091NA
Hyperlipidaemia0.089NA
Family history of IHD0.068NA
Bundle branch block0.051NA
Shortness of breath0.031NA
Duration category 2 (5–12 hours)0.022D
Chest pain is major symptom0.016NA
Pain radiating to back0.004NA
Sex (male = 1)0.0015NA
Smoker−0.032NA
Old MI on ECG−0.11NA
Age category 2 (41–60 years)−0.15D
Duration category 3 (13–48 hours)−0.26C
Old ischaemia on ECG−0.36C
Pain radiating to left chest−0.38C
Pain radiating to right chest−0.41C
Duration category 4 (>48 hours)−0.49C
Pain described as sharp−0.56B C
Episodic pain−0.79B C
Worse with changes in posture−1.0B C
Age category 1 (⩽40 years)−1.4B C
Pain worse on inspiration−1.5B C
Chest wall tenderness−2.5B C