Table 2 Different CHD epidemic patterns in males aged 35–74 years from 1950 to 2000

Epidemic pattern	Peak mortality from CHD
Epidemic pattern	High ⩾400/105	Moderate 200–399/105	Low 100–199/105	Very low <100/105
Rise and fall* (classic epidemic)	Canada, United States, Australia, New Zealand, England and Wales, Ireland, Scotland, Finland, Denmark, Israel, Czech Rep; Hungary	Austria, The Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, Italy, Sweden, Norway, Bulgaria, Romania, Poland, Argentina, Uruguay, Cuba, Singapore, Kuwait, Bahrain	France, Spain, Greece, Portugal, Japan, Hong Kong, Brazil, Panama, Chile

Rise only† (first part of the epidemic?)	Russian Federation, Belarus, Ukraine, Lithuania-Latvia, Estonia, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan	Venezuela	The Philippines, Sri Lanka, China (urban), Mexico, El Salvador

Flat (stable) (no epidemic yet)				Thailand, South Korea, China (rural), Peru

*A previous rise has been assumed in case of constant fall since inception of data from later periods. †Since the inception of data. ‡A little change in mortality has been observed since 1970.