Table 3

Mortality in the propensity score matched cohort by risk-strata (quartiles) at presentation

Risk quartile based on predicted risk at presentation*30-day mortalityLong-term mortality†
Overall quartile (%)TransferNon-transferHR (95% CI)‡Overall quartile (%)TransferNon-transferHR (95% CI)‡
Quartile 1 (n=4239)0.509/198412/22550.42 (0.19 to 0.96)3.459/198485/22550.71 (0.52 to 0.95)
Quartile 2 (n=4239)1.325/223228/20070.64 (0.42 to 0.97)8.7167/2232201/20070.75 (0.63 to 0.91)
Quartile 3 (n=4239)2.853/225264/19870.67 (0.51 to 0.95)19.3361/2252458/19870.67 (0.68 to 0.76
Quartile 4 (n=4239)14.0206/2010387/22290.62 (0.52 to 0.75)43.1705/20101123/22290.60 (0.54 to 0.66)
  • *The entire propensity score matched cohort (n=16 956, 8478 transferred and 8478 non-transferred patients) was stratified into four quartiles of equal patient number based on estimated risk of 30-day mortality at presentation. No interaction between risk-strata were observed for 30-day mortality or for long-term mortality (both p for interaction >0.05).

  • †Mortality at a median follow-up time of 3.5 years (min 1.5 years, max 5.5 years).

  • ‡HR shown is for transfer group compared with the non-transfer group as the referent group.