Table 2

Cox model estimating 15-year mortality for patients with and without a FH of CAD

 HR95% CIsWald χ2p Value
LowerUpper
(A) FH of CAD (n=6672)
CAC subsets116<0.0001
 1–101.621.172.2480.004
 11–992.031.602.5635<0.0001
 100–3992.682.113.4165<0.0001
 ≥4003.542.764.53100<0.0001
Age (in deciles)1.351.241.4654<0.001
Male sex0.950.801.12<10.52
Current smoker1.881.592.2255<0.001
Diabetes2.321.892.8464<0.001
Hypertension1.751.472.0841<0.001
Dyslipidaemia0.660.560.7824<0.001
Model χ2=558, p<0.0001
(B) No FH of CAD (n=3043)
CAC subsets148<0.0001
 1–101.550.972.4880.067
 11–-992.431.753.3728<0.0001
 100–3993.742.705.1863<0.0001
 ≥4006.334.648.64118<0.0001
Age (in deciles)1.521.371.6767<0.001
Male sex1.120.901.4010.298
Current smoker1.491.211.8414<0.001
Diabetes1.651.252.1813<0.001
Hypertension1.271.021.5750.033
Dyslipidaemia0.770.620.9560.016
Model χ2=429, p<0.0001
  • Bootstrap analysis with 1000 replicate samples noted minimal bias in the above models. This analysis can be found online as a suplementary file.

  • CAC, coronary artery calcium; CAD, coronary artery disease; FH, family history.