Table 2

Cumulative relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs for cold and heat effects on daily hospitalisations for coronary heart disease (CHD), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke and ischaemic stroke over a lag of 21 days in Ontario, Canada, 1996–2013

Cardiovascular-related hospitalisationsPercentile of the optimal temperature*Cold effect†Heat effect‡
RR (95% CI)RR (95% CI)
1st versus 25th 1st versus optimal temperature99th versus 75th 99th versus optimal temperature
CHD791.06 (1.01 to 1.10)1.09 (1.01–1.16)1.06 (1.01 to 1.11)1.06 (1.01–1.11)
AMI941.09 (1.03 to 1.16)1.29 (1.15–1.45)0.99 (0.92 to 1.06)1.01 (0.96–1.05)
Stroke741.09 (1.01 to 1.18)1.11 (1.01–1.22)1.08 (0.99 to 1.17)1.08 (0.99–1.17)
Ischaemic stroke761.06 (0.96 to 1.17)1.12 (0.97–1.28)1.07 (0.96 to 1.19)1.12 (0.97–1.18)
  • *The temperature corresponding to the lowest risk from the pooled Ontario-wide temperature-hospitalisation curve.

  • †RRs associated with the 1st percentile of temperature distribution relative to the 25th percentile and the optimal temperature, respectively.

  • ‡RRs associated with the 99th percentile of temperature distribution relative to the 75th percentile and the optimal temperature, respectively.