Table 3

Risk of incident fragility fractures in patients in the fourth quartiles of cardiovascular biomarkers (CT-proAVP, CT-proET-1, MR-proADM and MR-proANP) in multivariable Cox regression model

HR (95% CI)
Fracture at any siteVertebral (n=104)Upper (n=118)Forearm (n=153)Femoral (n=312)Tibial (n=100)
C-statistic (95% CI)0.656 (0.550 to 0.789)0.659 (0.497 to 0.791)0.641 (0.486 to 0.786)0.645 (0.490 to 0.780)0.648 (0.501 to 0.790)0.641 (0.484 to 0.787)
No biomarker in Q4 (n=4067)ReferenceReferenceReferenceReferenceReferenceReference
One biomarker in Q4 (n=518)1.03 (0.67 to 1.10)0.76 (0.33 to 1.51)0.55 (0.13 to 1.02)0.75 (0.43 to 1.33)0.76 (0.46 to 1.23)1.23 (0.66 to 2.30)
Two biomarkers in Q4 (n=263)1.36 (1.05 to 1.76)2.16 (1.21 to 3.86)1.20 (0.67 to 2.16)1.47 (0.88 to 2.45)1.54 (0.98 to 2.40)1.01 (0.45 to 1.85)
Three biomarkers in Q4 (n=247)1.26 (0.92 to 1.64)2.01 (1.07 to 3.39)1.13 (0.63 to 2.03)0.78 (0.35 to 1.13)0.98 (0.45 to 1.44)0.95 (0.42 to 2.17)
Four biomarkers in Q4 (n=324)2.32 (1.86 to 2.91)3.16 (1.97 to 5.07)1.18 (0.67 to 2.08)0.83 (0.44 to 1.58)2.35 (1.64 to 3.36)1.21 (0.59 to 2.50)
  • Adjusted for age, gender, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, antihypertensive treatment, smoking, diabetes, prevalent fractures, history of cardio/cerebrovascular disease and physical activity. Only fracture sites with incidence over 100 cases were analysed.

  • Q4, fourth quartile.