Table 3

Clinical outcomes and comparative costs

Usual rule-out strategyLoDED strategy
All patients
Patients successfully discharged within 4 hours (1° outcome) (%)114/311 (37)141/309 (46)OR 1.58 (95% CI 0.84 to 2.98)*
MACEs at 30 days (%)17/313 (5)25/316 (8)OR 1.50 (95% CI 0.76 to 3.02)†
MACEs in patients discharged within 4 hours (%)1/115 (1)0/141 (0)
Median time to discharge (hours) (IQR)5.0 (3.4–7.4)4.4 (3.2–6.8)All patients: 4.8 (3.3–7.0)
Patient satisfaction score, median (IQR)‡50 (44–55)51 (44–55)
Mean secondary care costs up to 30 days post discharge (95% CI)§£527 (£391 to £720)¶£429 (£302 to £651)¶Unadjusted incremental cost
£98 (£−131 to £332)**
Adjusted incremental cost:
£151 (£−34 to £336)††
Patients with an initial hs-cTn below the LoD ‡‡
Patients with an initial hs-cTn below the LoD (%)133/304 (44)141/307 (46)All patients: 274/611 (45)
Patients with an initial hs-cTn below the LoD successfully discharged within 4 hours (%)68/132 (52)97/137 (71)OR 2.51 (95% CI 0.76 to 8.25)†
MACEs at 30 days00
Median time to discharge (hours) (IQR)4.0 (3.0–5.7)3.5 (2.7–4.3)All patients: 3.7 (2.8–5.2)
Mean primary and secondary care costs up to 30 days post discharge (95% CI)§§£213 (£172 to £273)¶£184 (£153 to 243)¶Incremental cost:
£29 (−£33 to £99)**
Site variation
Patients successfully discharged within 4 hours (1° outcome) (%)
Royal United Hospital, Bath16/34 (47)20/35 (57)
Southmead Hospital, Bristol6/60 (10)25/60 (42)
Derriford Hospital, Plymouth10/46 (22)11/45 (24)
University Hospital, Southampton3/27 (11)9/26 (35)
University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff11/17 (65)11/21 (52)
Royal Devon and Exeter Hospital, Exeter21/49 (43)20/48 (42)
Royal London Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, London8/34 (24)11/33 (33)
Royal Berkshire Hospital, Reading39/44 (89)34/41 (83)
Median time to discharge (hours) (IQR)
Royal united Hospital, Bath4.4 (3.1 to 9.7)3.5 (2.5 to 6.6)
Southmead Hospital, Bristol5.6 (4.7 to 7.1)4.5 (3.2 to 6.1)
Derriford Hospital, Plymouth6.1 (4.3 to 7.0)5.5 (4.1 to 7.1)
University Hospital, Southampton5.9 (4.9 to 8.3)5.7 (3.4 to 6.2)
University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff3.8 (2.8 to 6.5)4.0 (3.1 to 5.8)
Royal Devon and Exeter Hospital, Exeter5.1 (3.5 to 26.5)5.3 (3.5 to 28.4)
Royal London Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, London5.4 (4.1 to 9.1)6.4 (3.9 to 8.2)
Royal Berkshire Hospital, Reading2.8 (2.5 to 3.4)3.2 (2.5 to 3.8)
  • *Pooled adjusted OR.

  • †Pooled unadjusted OR.

  • ‡The Group Health Association of America Satisfaction Questionnaire was completed on discharge (online supplementary table S4).27 Scores out of 5 were summed for each of 11 questions, giving a maximum score of 55. 352/629 responses received.

  • §Data were available to calculate secondary care costs in 295/313 patients in the usual care arm and 295/316 in the intervention. The unit cost template for this analysis is available in the online supplementary material.

  • ¶Mean cost with 95% bias corrected and accelerated CIs.

  • **Bootstrap mean difference with bias 95% bias corrected and accelerated CIs.

  • ††Adjusted predicted mean cost difference (95% Confidence Intervals), generalised linear model (GLM) with a log link function and inverse gaussian family.

  • ‡‡Data missing for 18 patients on the initial troponin result: 15 samples were haemolysed and three were lost.

  • §§Data were available to calculate primary and secondary care costs in 125/133 patients in the usual care arm 122/141 in the intervention. The unit cost template for this analysis is available in the online supplementary material.

  • Hs-cTn, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin; LoD, limit of detection; LoDED, limit of detection and ECG discharge; MACE, major adverse cardiac event.