Outcome VHD severity | N | n | PYs | MR | Crude model | P value | Multivariable model* | P value |
All-cause mortality | ||||||||
No | 1751 | 152 | 11 508 | 13.2 | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | ||
Mild | 1578 | 185 | 9685 | 19.1 | 1.51 (1.22–1.87) | <0.001 | 1.20 (0.96–1.51) | 0.10 |
Significant | 182 | 24 | 878 | 27.3 | 2.43 (1.58–3.75) | <0.001 | 1.47 (0.94–2.31) | 0.09 |
CVD† | ||||||||
No | 1751 | 34 | 11 508 | 3.0 | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | ||
Mild | 1578 | 44 | 9685 | 4.5 | 1.59 (1.02–2.49) | 0.04 | 1.15 (0.72–1.83) | 0.57 |
Significant | 182 | 8 | 878 | 9.1 | 3.34 (1.54–7.26) | 0.002 | 1.52 (0.63–3.68) | 0.35 |
Cancer† | ||||||||
No | 1751 | 79 | 11 508 | 6.9 | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | ||
Mild | 1578 | 76 | 9685 | 7.8 | 1.14 (0.83–1.57) | 0.40 | 1.05 (0.76–1.45) | 0.77 |
Significant | 182 | 3 | 878 | 3.4 | 0.50 (0.16–1.60) | 0.24 | 0.37 (0.11–1.24) | 0.11 |
Respiratory disease† | ||||||||
No | 1751 | 14 | 11 508 | 1.2 | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | ||
Mild | 1578 | 19 | 9685 | 2.0 | 1.60 (0.80–3.17) | 0.18 | 1.12 (0.54–2.32) | 0.76 |
Significant | 182 | 5 | 878 | 5.7 | 4.97 (1.80–13.7) | 0.002 | 2.49 (0.91–6.77) | 0.07 |
*Multivariable model was adjusted for sex, age, smoking status, index of multiple deprivation, rheumatic fever and atrial fibrillation.
†The Fine-Gray competing risks model was used to evaluate cause-specific mortality, with other causes of death modelled as a single competing outcome.
CVD, cardiovascular disease; MR, mortality rate per 1000 person-years; N, number at risk of death within category; n, number of deaths within category; PYs, person-years; VHD, valvular heart disease.