Table 3

Prognostic value of major electrocardiographic abnormalities

OR (95% CI)
Model 1 (unadjusted)Model 2 (adjusted by gender and age)Model 3 (adjusted by country of residence and cardiovascular risk factors*)Model 4
(adjusted by comorbidities†)
Any major ECG abnormality
 Death1.70 (1.37 to 2.18)1.42 (1.12 to 1.81)1.42 (1.11 to 1.81)1.39 (1.09 to 1.78)
 CV event2.64 (1.94 to 3.56)2.26 (1.65 to 3.09)2.19 (1.60 to 3.00)1.81 (1.30 to 2.51)
 ICU admission1.06 (0.87 to 1.30)1.00 (0.82 to 1.22)0.99 (0.80 to 1.21)1.01 (0.82 to 1.25)
AF
 Death0.80 (0.35 to 1.63)0.60 (0.26 to 1.27)0.76 (0.32 to 1.65)0.77 (0.32 to 1.69)
 CV event2.54 (1.20 to 5.10)2.32 (1.08 to 4.80)2.57 (1.17 to 5.4.00)2.22 (0.99 to 4.76)
 ICU admission1.04 (0.55 to 2.00)1.10 (0.56 to 2.00)1.41 (0.71 to 2.8)1.48 (0.74 to 3.00)
BBB
 Death1.44 (0.92 to 2.18)1.09 (0.69 to 1.67)1.12 (0.71 to 1.73)1.10 (0.69 to 1.70)
 CV event1.67 (0.92 to 2.85)1.32 (0.72 to 2.27)1.30 (0.71 to 2.24)1.16 (0.62 to 2.02)
 ICU admission1.03 (0.71 to 1.49)0.94 (0.65 to 1.36)0.97 (0.65 to 1.4)1.00 (0.68 to 1.47)
Ischaemic abnormalities
 Death1.56 (1.16 to 2.08)1.41 (1.04 to 1.89)1.31 (0.96 to 1.76)1.30 (0.95 to 1.75)
 CV event1.76 (1.18 to 2.57)1.60 (1.07 to 2.34)1.51 (1.00 to 2.22)1.35 (0.89 to 2.00)
 ICU admission1.07 (0.84 to 1.40)1.05 (0.81 to 1.34)0.97 (0.74 to 1.24)0.98 (0.75 to 1.26)
Prolonged QT
 Death1.46 (0.84 to 2.43)1.01 (0.63 to 1.06)1.18 (0.67 to 2.00)1.13 (0.64 to 1.92)
 CV event2.62 (1.40 to 4.63)2.08 (1.09 to 3.72)2.09 (1.09 to 3.74)1.91 (0.99 to 3.47)
 ICU admission1.17 (0.74 to 1.80)1.08 (0.68 to 1.70)1.19 (0.74 to 1.92)1.20 (0.74 to 1.93)
Heart rate >120 bpm
 Death3.95 (2.10 to 7.48)3.67 (1.90 to 7.07)3.88 (1.99 to 7.50)3.86 (1.97 to 7.48)
 CV event3.04 (1.29 to 6.40)2.71 (1.14 to 5.78)2.75 (1.15 to 5.89)2.68 (1.10 to 5.85)
 ICU admission1.93 (1.02 to 3.80)1.92 (1.01 to 3.77)2.04 (1.05 to 4.09)1.99 (1.03 to 4.00)
  • *Diabetes, hypertension, tobacco use.

  • †Cardiovascular disease, asthma, cancer, immunosuppression and chronic kidney disease.

  • CV, cardiovascular; ICU, intensive care unit; AF, atrial fibrillation; BBB, bundle branch block.