Table 2

Risks of all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events and adverse renal outcomes among patients with CKD with different HF subtypes

OutcomeNo. of eventsPerson-yearsIncidence rate*Before IPTWIPTWIPTW-adjusted†
HR (95% CI)P valueHR (95% CI)P valueHR (95% CI)P value
All-cause mortality
 HFpHF63310 1196.263.61 (3.15 to 4.14)<0.0011.90 (1.64 to 2.21)<0.0011.85 (1.59 to 2.15)<0.001
 HFmrHF18924527.714.78 (3.99 to 5.73)<0.0012.66 (2.14 to 3.31)<0.0012.75 (2.22 to 3.42)<0.001
 HFrHF23726748.865.29 (4.47 to 6.27)<0.0013.18 (2.58 to 3.93)<0.0013.18 (2.57 to 3.93)<0.001
 Non-HF31119 8021.57ReferenceReferenceReference
Major adverse cardiovascular events
 HFpHF946770812.273.68 (3.31 to 4.11)<0.0012.48 (2.20 to 2.80)<0.0012.43 (2.16 to 2.73)<0.001
 HFmrHF243179113.574.38 (3.76 to 5.10)<0.0013.11 (2.59 to 3.73)<0.0013.08 (2.57 to 3.69)<0.001
 HFrHF347183618.905.81 (5.07 to 6.67)<0.0013.97 (3.32 to 4.74)<0.0013.83 (3.20 to 4.59)<0.001
 Non-HF51018 4762.76ReferenceReferenceReference
Ischaemic stroke
 HFpHF16097421.641.38 (1.12 to 1.69)0.0020.96 (0.77 to 1.21)0.7510.97 (0.77 to 1.22)0.806
 HFmrHF4323471.831.59 (1.15 to 2.21)0.0051.15 (0.79 to 1.69)0.4591.21 (0.83 to 1.78)0.323
 HFrHF4825731.871.60 (1.17 to 2.19)0.0031.06 (0.71 to 1.57)0.7751.06 (0.72 to 1.58)0.766
 Non-HF21819 2041.14ReferenceReferenceReference
Myocardial infarction
 HFpHF10099271.012.31 (1.71 to 3.11)<0.0011.55 (1.11 to 2.14)0.0091.53 (1.10 to 2.13)0.013
 HFmrHF3823451.624.01 (2.71 to 5.91)<0.0012.18 (1.32 to 3.59)0.0022.09 (1.26 to 3.46)0.004
 HFrHF7325082.916.84 (4.96 to 9.44)<0.0013.64 (2.45 to 5.41)<0.0013.12 (2.08 to 4.69)<0.001
 Non-HF7619 6090.39ReferenceReferenceReference
Hospitalisation for HF
 HFpHF78781009.725.52 (4.80 to 6.33)<0.0013.53 (3.02 to 4.12)<0.0013.44 (2.94 to 4.01)<0.001
 HFmrHF199192810.326.44 (5.36 to 7.73)<0.0014.34 (3.49 to 5.39)<0.0014.31 (3.46 to 5.36)<0.001
 HFrHF280199514.048.28 (7.00 to 9.78)<0.0015.72 (4.65 to 7.05)<0.0015.56 (4.48 to 6.90)<0.001
 Non-HF27319 1571.43ReferenceReferenceReference
Estimated glomerular filtration rate decline >30%
 HFpHF23595582.462.46 (2.01 to 3.02)<0.0011.67 (1.32 to 2.10)<0.0011.62 (1.28 to 2.04)<0.001
 HFmrHF5523132.382.74 (2.01 to 3.73)<0.0012.04 (1.40 to 2.99)<0.0012.03 (1.38 to 3.00)<0.001
 HFrHF8824533.593.79 (2.92 to 4.93)<0.0012.61 (1.90 to 3.59)<0.0012.56 (1.85 to 3.56)<0.001
 Non-HF15219 2760.79ReferenceReferenceReference
End-stage renal disease
 HFpHF34294083.642.91 (2.44 to 3.48)<0.0011.82 (1.48 to 2.23)<0.0011.86 (1.52 to 2.27)<0.001
 HFmrHF10122624.474.07 (3.20 to 5.18)<0.0012.02 (1.49 to 2.75)<0.0012.23 (1.63 to 3.05)<0.001
 HFrHF13024045.414.50 (3.60 to 5.62)<0.0012.62 (1.98 to 3.49)<0.0012.58 (1.94 to 3.44)<0.001
 Non-HF19119 2680.99ReferenceReferenceReference
  • *Per 102 person-years.

  • †Adjusted for age, sex, haemoglobin A1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate, spot urine protein-to-creatinine ratio, spot urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, malignancy, uses of calcium channel blockers, beta-blockers, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors, statins, oral hypoglycaemic agents and insulin.

  • CKD, chronic kidney disease; HF, heart failure; HFmrEF, heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction; HFpEF, heart failure with preserved ejection fraction; HFrEF, heart failure with reduced ejection fraction; IPTW, inverse probability of treatment weighting.