External validation of a risk score to predict intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in patients with kawasaki disease

Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2011 Feb;30(2):145-7. doi: 10.1097/INF.0b013e3181f386db.

Abstract

Background: we previously developed a new risk score to predict intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in Kawasaki disease. However, the IVIG dosage used in that study (1 g/kg/d for 2 consecutive days) differs from the single infusion of 2 g/kg recommended in the United States and elsewhere. Our aim was to assess the validity and applicability of our risk score in patients treated with a single infusion.

Methods: we used a database of 1626 patients with Kawasaki disease given initial IVIG treatment at a dose of 1 g/kg/d for 2 consecutive days (n = 990; IVIG- 1 g/kg × 2) or 2 g/kg/d for 1 day (n = 636; IVIG- 2 g/kg × 1) across 17 hospitals in Japan. Patients received the total IVIG dose within 36 hours in IVIG- 1 g/kg × 2 and 24 hours in IVIG- 2 g/kg × 1. We stratified the patients according to a risk scoring system developed to predict IVIG unresponsiveness, based on scores of ≥ 5 points. We compared the accuracy of prediction between the 2 groups using receiver operating characteristic analysis.

Results: baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes were similar between both groups. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve in IVIG- 2 g/kg × 1 were similar to those of IVIG- 1 g/kg × 2. Using a cut-off risk score of ≥ 5 points, we could identify IVIG resistance in terms of coronary artery abnormalities within 1 month and coronary artery abnormalities at 1 month with equivalent sensitivity and specificity in both groups.

Conclusion: our risk score can be used to predict IVIG unresponsiveness to a regimen based on a single infusion of 2 g/kg IVIG.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Immunoglobulins, Intravenous / administration & dosage*
  • Infant
  • Infusions, Intravenous
  • Japan
  • Male
  • Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome / drug therapy*
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • Immunoglobulins, Intravenous