Higher risk of death and stroke in patients with persistent vs. paroxysmal atrial fibrillation: results from the ROCKET-AF Trial

Eur Heart J. 2015 Feb 1;36(5):288-96. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehu359. Epub 2014 Sep 10.

Abstract

Aim: Anticoagulation prophylaxis for stroke is recommended for at-risk patients with either persistent or paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF). We compared outcomes in patients with persistent vs. paroxysmal AF receiving oral anticoagulation.

Methods and results: Patients randomized in the Rivaroxaban Once Daily Oral Direct Factor Xa Inhibition Compared With Vitamin K Antagonism for Prevention of Stroke and Embolism Trial in Atrial Fibrillation (ROCKET-AF) trial (n = 14 264) were grouped by baseline AF category: paroxysmal or persistent. Multivariable adjustment was performed to compare thrombo-embolic events, bleeding, and death between groups, in high-risk subgroups, and across treatment assignment (rivaroxaban or warfarin). Of 14 062 patients, 11 548 (82%) had persistent AF and 2514 (18%) had paroxysmal AF. Patients with persistent AF were marginally older (73 vs. 72, P = 0.03), less likely female (39 vs. 45%, P < 0.0001), and more likely to have previously used vitamin K antagonists (64 vs. 56%, P < 0.0001) compared with patients with paroxysmal AF. In patients randomized to warfarin, time in therapeutic range was similar (58 vs. 57%, P = 0.94). Patients with persistent AF had higher adjusted rates of stroke or systemic embolism (2.18 vs. 1.73 events per 100-patient-years, P = 0.048) and all-cause mortality (4.78 vs. 3.52, P = 0.006). Rates of major bleeding were similar (3.55 vs. 3.31, P = 0.77). Rates of stroke or systemic embolism in both types of AF did not differ by treatment assignment (rivaroxaban vs. warfarin, Pinteraction = 0.6).

Conclusion: In patients with AF at moderate-to-high risk of stroke receiving anticoagulation, those with persistent AF have a higher risk of thrombo-embolic events and worse survival compared with paroxysmal AF.

Keywords: Anticoagulation; Atrial fibrillation; Outcomes; Paroxysmal; Persistent.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Multicenter Study
  • Randomized Controlled Trial
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Administration, Oral
  • Aged
  • Anticoagulants / administration & dosage
  • Atrial Fibrillation / complications*
  • Atrial Fibrillation / mortality
  • Cause of Death
  • Double-Blind Method
  • Drug Administration Schedule
  • Factor Xa Inhibitors / administration & dosage
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Morpholines / administration & dosage
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Rivaroxaban
  • Stroke / etiology*
  • Stroke / mortality
  • Stroke / prevention & control
  • Thiophenes / administration & dosage
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Vitamin K / antagonists & inhibitors
  • Warfarin / administration & dosage

Substances

  • Anticoagulants
  • Factor Xa Inhibitors
  • Morpholines
  • Thiophenes
  • Vitamin K
  • Warfarin
  • Rivaroxaban